Correlation between multiple chronic conditions and long-term heart failure after acute myocardial infarction
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摘要:
目的 分析急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者远期心力衰竭(HF)的发生情况,并探讨多病共存(MCC)与其相关性。 方法 选择2016年1月—2018年12月在扬州大学附属医院心内科住院的AMI患者355例,根据结局分为心衰组(149例)和非心衰组(206例),中位随访时间为43.0个月。回顾性分析2组患者的基线资料;使用Kaplan-Meier分析和Cox回归分析评估MCC在AMI患者远期HF发生中的作用;运用Cochran-Armitage检验分析共存疾病数与AMI患者远期HF发生率的关系。 结果 (1) 心衰组患者年龄更大,左心室射血分数更低,GRACE评分及MCC占比更高。心衰组MCC发生率为非心衰组的1.6倍;(2)年龄(HR=1.024,95% CI: 1.003~1.045)、低左室射血分数(HR=0.963,95% CI: 0.946~0.980)、GRACE评分(HR=1.011,95% CI: 1.004~1.018)及MCC(HR=1.517,95% CI: 1.073~2.146)是AMI患者远期HF的独立影响因素;(3)MCC患者AMI后远期HF的发生率明显高于非MCC患者(P<0.05);(4)AMI患者远期HF发生率与共存疾病数呈正相关关系(P<0.05)。 结论 MCC是AMI患者远期HF的独立危险因素,对AMI患者远期HF的发生具有预测价值,且远期HF发生率随共存疾病数的增加而增高。 Abstract:Objective To analyze the incidence of long-term heart failure (HF) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and explore the correlation between multiple chronic conditions (MCC) with it. Methods An analysis was performed on 355 patients with AMI hospitalized in the Department of Cardiology of Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University from January 2016 to December 2018. Patients were divided into HF group (149 cases) and non-HF group (206 cases) according to the outcome, with a median follow-up of 43.0 months. The baseline data of the two groups were retrospectively analyzed. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression analysis were used to evaluate the role of MCC in long-term HF in patients with AMI. The Cochran-Armitage trend test was used to analysis the relationship between the number of coexisting diseases and the incidence of long-term HF in AMI patients. Results (1) Patients in the HF group were older, with lower left ventricular ejection fraction, and had higher GRACE scores and proportion of MCC. The proportion of MCC in the HF group was 1.6 times higher than that in the non-HF group. (2) Age (HR=1.024, 95% CI: 1.003-1.045), low left ventricular ejection fraction (HR=0.963, 95% CI: 0.946-0.980), GRACE scores (HR=1.011, 95% CI: 1.004-1.018) and MCC (HR=1.517, 95% CI: 1.073-2.146) were independent influence factors for long-term HF in AMI patients. (3) The cumulative incidence of HF after AMI was significantly higher in patients with MCC than that in patients without MCC (P < 0.05). (4) There was a positive correlation between the incidence of distant HF and the number of coexisting diseases in AMI patients (P < 0.05). Conclusion MCC is an independent risk factor for long-term HF in patients with AMI, which has predictive value for the occurrence of long-term HF in AMI patients, and the incidence of long-term HF after AMI increases with the number of coexisting diseases. -
表 1 心衰组与非心衰组患者临床资料比较
Table 1. Comparison of clinical data between HF group and non-HF group
项目 非心衰组(n=206) 心衰组(n=149) 统计量 P值 人口学特征 年龄[M(P25, P75),岁] 60.0(51.0, 67.0) 70.0(61.0, 76.5) -6.361a < 0.001 性别(男性/女性,例) 169/37 113/36 2.035b 0.154 临床特征 心率[M(P25, P75),次/min] 72.0(64.8, 80.3) 75.0(66.0, 85.5) -2.321a 0.020 收缩压[M(P25, P75),mmHg] 135.5(120.0, 150.0) 130.0(120.0, 150.0) -1.094a 0.274 舒张压[M(P25, P75),mmHg] 80.0(74.8, 94.3) 80.0(70.0, 90.0) -2.239a 0.025 GRACE评分(x±s) 137.8±31.1 167.2±31.2 8.765c < 0.001 实验室及器械检查 红细胞(x±s,×1012/L) 4.70±0.53 4.60±0.58 -1.707c 0.089 血红蛋白[M(P25, P75),g/L] 147.0(136.8, 157.0) 140.0(130.0, 154.0) -2.815a 0.005 血小板[M(P25, P75),×109/L] 184.5(156.0, 226.0) 178.0(149.5, 213.5) -1.208a 0.227 白细胞[M(P25, P75),×109/L] 8.6(7.3, 10.9) 9.1(7.2, 11.2) -0.920a 0.358 血钾[M(P25, P75),mmol/L] 4.0(3.7, 4.2) 3.9(3.7, 4.3) -0.256a 0.798 白蛋白[M(P25, P75),g/L] 41.7(39.4, 44.5) 40.5(37.5, 44.1) -2.450a 0.014 总胆红素[M(P25, P75),μmol/L] 8.9(4.5, 13.5) 8.1(4.2, 14.7) -0.382a 0.702 谷草转氨酶[M(P25, P75),U/L] 44.0(27.0, 91.3) 45.0(28.9, 92.5) -0.808a 0.419 血糖[M(P25, P75),mmol/L] 7.5(6.1, 10.3) 8.3(6.4, 12.2) -2.077a 0.038 肌酐[M(P25, P75),μmol/L] 72.8(62.0, 85.3) 75.0(63.0, 89.1) -1.362a 0.173 甘油三酯[M(P25, P75),μmol/L] 1.8(1.3, 2.6) 1.4(1.1, 2.0) -4.662a < 0.001 LDL-C[M(P25, P75),mmol/L] 2.3(1.9, 2.8) 2.3(1.9, 2.8) -0.101a 0.919 D二聚体[M(P25, P75),mg/L] 0.2(0.1, 0.4) 0.4(0.2, 0.6) -5.302a < 0.001 LVEF[M(P25, P75),%] 67.0(62.0, 70.0) 61.0(55.0, 67.0) -5.803a < 0.001 既往史[例(%)] 吸烟史 104(50.5) 64(43.0) 1.968b 0.161 高血压史 139(67.5) 114(76.5) 3.446b 0.063 糖尿病史 37(18.0) 48(32.2) 9.646b 0.002 冠心病史 26(12.6) 36(24.2) 7.988b 0.005 脑卒中史 20(9.7) 30(20.1) 7.766b 0.005 高脂血症史 20(9.7) 7(4.7) 3.089b 0.079 MCC 66(32.0) 78(52.3) 14.793b < 0.001 院内治疗 PCI治疗[例(%)] 177(85.9) 115(77.2) 4.526b 0.003 注:a为Z值,b为χ2值, c为t值。LDL-C为低密度脂蛋白胆固醇。1 mmHg=0.133 kPa。 表 2 AMI患者远期HF影响因素的单因素Cox回归分析
Table 2. Univariate Cox regression analysis of long-term HF influencing factors in AMI patients
项目 B SE Wald χ2 P值 HR值 95% CI 年龄 0.046 0.007 42.046 <0.001 1.048 1.033~1.062 心率 0.012 0.005 5.218 0.022 1.012 1.002~1.023 舒张压 -0.012 -0.006 4.556 0.033 0.988 0.977~0.999 LVEF -0.052 0.008 42.236 <0.001 0.949 0.934~0.964 血红蛋白 -0.012 0.004 10.706 0.001 0.988 0.981~0.995 白蛋白 -0.051 0.018 7.960 0.005 0.950 0.917~0.984 血糖 0.036 0.017 4.434 0.035 1.036 1.002~1.071 甘油三酯 -0.285 0.085 11.135 0.001 0.752 0.636~0.889 GRACE评分 0.018 0.002 71.379 <0.001 1.018 1.014~1.022 D-二聚体 0.026 0.025 1.121 0.290 1.027 0.978~1.078 PCI治疗 -0.302 0.196 2.384 0.123 0.739 0.504~1.085 冠心病史 0.704 0.193 13.311 <0.001 2.021 1.385~2.950 糖尿病史 0.625 0.176 12.558 <0.001 1.867 1.322~2.638 脑卒中史 0.718 0.207 12.025 0.001 2.049 1.366~3.074 MCC 0.668 0.165 16.376 <0.001 1.950 1.411~2.696 表 3 AMI患者远期HF影响因素的多因素Cox回归分析
Table 3. Multivariate Cox regression analysis of long-term HF influencing factors in AMI patients
项目 B SE Wald χ2 P值 HR值 95% CI 年龄 0.024 0.011 2.268 0.023 1.024 1.003~1.045 心率 0.005 0.006 0.803 0.422 1.005 0.993~1.017 舒张压 0.011 0.007 1.549 0.121 1.011 0.997~1.025 LVEF -0.038 0.009 -4.192 <0.001 0.963 0.946~0.980 血红蛋白 -0.002 0.005 -0.278 0.781 0.998 0.988~1.009 白蛋白 0.013 0.019 0.677 0.499 1.013 0.976~1.050 血糖 0.019 0.019 1.030 0.303 1.019 0.983~1.058 甘油三酯 -0.150 0.089 -1.684 0.092 0.861 0.724~1.025 GRACE评分 0.011 0.004 2.984 0.003 1.011 1.004~1.018 MCC 0.417 0.177 2.358 0.018 1.517 1.073~2.146 -
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